Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.202510 0.234972 0.272772 0.320489 0.379761 0.451827 0.547431
2025-02-16 0.153348 0.193753 0.246600 0.322659 0.432627 0.591490 0.849858
2025-02-23 0.125087 0.167860 0.228727 0.325586 0.484042 0.750152 1.276006
2025-03-02 0.106377 0.149374 0.214656 0.327234 0.531561 0.924182 1.862169
2025-03-09 0.092436 0.134469 0.201652 0.325394 0.570814 1.103333 2.635648
2025-03-16 0.081121 0.121345 0.188328 0.318552 0.597049 1.270596 3.590762
2025-03-23 0.074728 0.114976 0.184872 0.328676 0.662402 1.575689 5.510421
2025-03-30 0.067306 0.105681 0.174391 0.321848 0.686216 1.787705 7.568806
2025-04-06 0.062534 0.100292 0.170112 0.326899 0.742152 2.150643 11.656600
2025-04-13 0.057500 0.093757 0.162521 0.322646 0.771650 2.453333 16.889826
2025-04-20 0.054168 0.089925 0.159653 0.328727 0.834815 2.969331 28.324356
2025-04-27 0.051530 0.087068 0.158298 0.338203 0.914399 3.681124 53.381488
2025-05-04 0.048856 0.083907 0.155984 0.345206 0.992608 4.546364 111.480216
2025-05-11 0.046629 0.081393 0.154742 0.355055 1.089633 5.770888 299.847860
2025-05-18 0.044337 0.078494 0.152206 0.360725 1.175639 7.183304 1029.100096
2025-05-25 0.042087 0.075445 0.148889 0.363337 1.252177 8.812226 5950.492817
2025-06-01 0.039808 0.072110 0.144441 0.361449 1.308431 10.506024 137079.764471
2025-06-08 0.037441 0.068374 0.138558 0.353666 1.331978 11.960837 NaN
2025-06-15 0.036258 0.067083 0.138530 0.365305 1.470733 16.148049 NaN
2025-06-22 0.034262 0.063835 0.133170 0.357473 1.493933 18.496991 NaN
2025-06-29 0.033033 0.062190 0.131731 0.363273 1.608465 24.282681 NaN
2025-07-06 0.031456 0.059632 0.127609 0.358392 1.651655 28.887457 NaN
2025-07-13 0.030466 0.058331 0.126677 0.365373 1.787363 39.597744 NaN